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[Photo via Unsplash/Pablo Heimplatz]

Earlier in the week, it was reported that a health expert is saying concerts are unlikely to happen until late into 2021 and now, the governor of California is giving a similar timeframe specifically for the Golden State.

In a press conference held yesterday (April 14), California governor Gavin Newsom is similarly saying large gatherings won’t happen until a vaccine is ready.

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On Monday, we reported about a New York Times interview with oncologist and bioethicist Zeke Emanuel where he said concerts would likely need to be rescheduled again. You can read his quote below.

“Restarting the economy has to be done in stages. And it does have to start with more physical distancing at a work site that allows people who are at lower risk to come back. Certain kinds of construction, or manufacturing or offices, in which you can maintain six-foot distances are more reasonable to start sooner. Larger gatherings, conferences, concerts, sporting events. When people say they’re going to reschedule this conference or graduation event for October 2020, I have no idea how they think that’s a plausible possibility. I think those things will be the last to return. Realistically, we’re talking fall 2021 at the earliest.”

Now, we’re hearing essentially the same thing from Newsom.

He says “when you suggest June, July, August, (mass gatherings) are unlikely,” while cautioning a firm timeline.

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“The prospect of mass gatherings is negligible at best until we get to herd immunity and we get a vaccine.”

“So large-scale events that bring in hundreds, thousands, tens of thousands of strangers altogether across every conceivable difference, health and otherwise, is not in the cards based upon our current guidelines and current expectations.”

World leaders and health experts are saying society won’t go back to normal until a vaccine is developed too. The general consensus from health experts is that a vaccine won’t be available for 12 to 18 months.

A vaccine won’t be available for the masses soon but health care workers will likely be vaccinated much sooner. This happened with the Ebola outbreaks across Africa through emergency rules approving a vaccine for a very select few. Testing and trials for a large-scale vaccination campaign will take months to years for the public though.

In an interview with The Guardian, president and CEO of Management Sciences for Health Marian Wentworth reiterates what we’ve been hearing since the pandemic took over.

“It really depends on what you mean by ‘having a vaccine’,” she says. “If you mean one that can be used in a mass vaccination campaign. Allowing us all to get on with our lives, then 12 to 18 months is probably right.”

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As with everything involving timeframes for the coronavirus though, things could change very quickly. Newsom is highlighting this in the press conference as well.

“Things can change radically and we could of course have therapeutics at scale, the kind of community testing at scale, serology tests at scale and a capacity to get vaccines earlier than we anticipated that can change that dynamic, so I want to caution my own words in that context,” says Newsom.

You can watch the press conference below.

What do you think of the governor of California’s comments about large gatherings in the state? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.

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